to use them properly and over a correct time frame. Typically we use weekly candles but some penny stocks will work just fine with daily charts. Only look for patterns or traditional formations when the market is in extreme over bought or over sold levels. The bullish or bearish engulfing patterns are very reliable when RSI or MACD are very high or low on weekly charts. These are large candles that overshadow the last few and come right at the top or bottom. We particularly like the fact that these charts use logic and information that we already know, but put it in an abstract for easy use. Just be careful not to let these charts create emotions. Black and white are a lot better colors to use than red and green. When looking at and trying to understand candlestick charts, use time frame divergence. This involves looking at increasingly smaller time frames to confirm candlestick patterns. This will help you determine which patterns are more reliable and which ones are completely false. Looking at as many time frames as possible will also help you learn what happens when a candlestick pattern is formed and what it's key elements are. When looking at charts of OTC BB stocks be sure to use an appropriate time frame. Stocks that were very lightly traded for a long time and suddenly came to life only need to be view from the time volume came in. Always look at at least a few months worth of data and look at your own needs and expectations. Although it is important to know the entire history of a stock, if you have short time horizons, look at shorter charts for important trade decisions. Trying to pick a low on a monthly chart can take a long time to pan out. Daily charts are the best way to go. Moving Average indicators can be a great tool for Penny Stock decision making, but not in the traditional way. Common technical analysis tells you to use two moving average indicators like a 50 day and 200 day and to react whenever they cross each other. In this strategy you would buy when the shorter moving average crosses above the longer one and to sell when the opposite occurs. Historical testing of this shows that there is no better way to lose your money as this strategy often brings you to the table way to late. A sell indicator will usually come once the stock has already plummeted and the best you can do normally is break even. We use two or three moving averages but watch for them to spread hand with the MACD (moving average convergence divergence). A perfect technical chart simply shows some moving averages, the MACD and volume. We buy when shorter moving averages extend below the longer ones by significant levels and the MACD is at its low end of a longer term range, usually six months or so. This combined with the proper interpretation of volume will lead you to the right places to begin to perform fundamental analysis. All in all, do not trust technical analysis without looking at the facts. Try looking at past charts and see what the news did to the stock price. This will help you clear up your crystal ball a little bit. Look for price drops due to unrelated bad news for great buying opportunities. |
PSW Staff |
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