Small, Solid, Undervalued Company Starting to be Heard on Wall Street
LRAD Corporation (LRAD) – NASDAQNovember 17, 2014 Business Model
LRAD Corporation develops and delivers highly intelligible, directed acoustic products that beam, focus and control sound over short and long distances. By placing sound only where needed, it not only enhances many typical speaker applications, but offers novel sound applications that conventional speakers cannot achieve.The company offers a variety of directional sound products, which meet a broad range of requirements from communicating with and deterring threats over distances up to 300 meters with the hand-held LRAD 100X to distances in excess of 3,500 meters with the LRAD 2000X. Since 1996, LRAD has been at the forefront developing new acoustic innovations to project, focus, shape and control sound and has established a significant competitive advantage in its principal markets. In 2007, the company completely redesigned its LRAD products, introducing the LRAD-X product line, with improved quality and functionality. Through increased focus and investment in worldwide sales and marketing activities, the Long Range Acoustic Device ® or LRAD pioneered a new worldwide market, selling into over 70 countries, for directional long-range acoustic hailing devices (“AHDs”).
Recent Accomplishments
Revenues in the quarter ended June 30, 2014, were $8,004,088, compared to $2,157,644 in the quarter ended June 30, 2013. The increase in revenues was primarily driven by a $4 million order for LRAD-2000X and other units for perimeter and border security in the Middle East, a $760,000 order for LRAD-500X and LRAD-1000X model units for internal security and police in Northern Africa, a $763,000 order for bird mitigation for an international mining concern and other orders for police and public safety, international defense and Navy, mass notification, perimeter security and maritime applications. International revenues continue to drive growth. The company continues to pursue funding opportunities for products with the U.S. Army as the 2014 U.S. Department of Defense (“DOD”) appropriations bill is being finalized and the 2015 DOD appropriations bill is being developed. Gross margin was very strong at 63% of net revenues in the quarter ended June 30, 2014, compared to 42% of net revenues in the prior year’s third quarter. The increased margin was partially offset by increased commission expense reported in operating expenses as a larger share of revenues were commissionable. Operating expenses increased by $1.1 million or 53%, primarily due to an increase in commissions and bonus expense, partially offset by a decrease in legal expenses due to a lawsuit in the prior year. On a quarter over quarter basis, revenues are expected to remain uneven.
During the most recent quarter to be reported on November 20, 2014, the company has issued press releases disclosing over $3.5 million in new orders.
Financial Fitness
LRAD has no long term debt and as of its last filing had over $31 million in assets and just under $4 million in liabilities. The company has $21 million or 64 cents per share in cash and equivalents. The current trailing P/E is 16, well below the industry average of 27, and has a forward P/E below 20. The company has surprised to the upside on earnings in all four of the last reported quarters and beyond. In the last four quarters, the company has doubled or tripled the earnings estimates.
Over the last four years, shareholder equity has been steadily climbing quarter after quarter and year after year, from around $10 million to where it was at the last quarterly report, $27 million. During this time the number of shares outstanding has barely budged from 30.6 million to 33 million.
The stock price has been very solid over the past five years with plenty of volatility but no major sign of weakness. The stock has dipped below a dollar briefly twice, and has climbed as high as $3 twice as well, with the most recent climb breaking through that $3 barrier for the first time since October of 2007.
Risks
Because this company has created its own market, many industry and sector wide risks do not apply, but some risks unique to its customer base do. One such risk has to do with legislation involved with military and other government spending, as such legislation is often delayed or amended depending on which way the wind is blowing that day in Washington.
Our Trading Strategy
We believe this stock could experience a fairly good sized jump when earnings are released later this month, however we would not be basing a trade on this. This may be more of an investment in a solid company that we believe has a very high potential for short and long term growth, and may currently be a bit undervalued. Should the stock continue to climb to higher heights over time, we would consider adding to the position, rather than selling for a quick profit. We would think that it would be unusual to see poor stock performance over the next few quarters, and should that occur, we would initiate a tight stop loss.